The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. They consider how much. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. NEW TOWN . The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. Instagram did not return a 200. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. MANAGER'S SALARY. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. 0:00:00 FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party.